A Network-driven Framework for Public Event Forecasting via Dynamic Interaction Network Evolution
This study addresses the insufficient modeling of dynamic interaction mechanisms in public event evolution prediction by proposing the Auto-IBDLM framework. This approach models events as dynamic interaction networks, integrating network science-inspired hybrid representation learning with GRU-based temporal modules to enable automatic transformation of structural features into a compact latent space and participant growth forecasting. Experiments across thirteen real-world datasets demonstrate that the model achieves an accuracy exceeding 97%, significantly outperforming existing methods. By combining high precision, strong generalization capability, and interpretability, this work effectively enhances predictive performance for public event evolution, offering a robust solution for capturing complex dynamic interactions in evolving social systems.