A Low-Cost IoT Device for Environmental Monitoring and Embedded Solar Forecasting with On-Device Incremental Learning
This study addresses the high cost and limited spatial resolution of professional weather stations for hyper-local solar forecasting by developing a low-cost IoT device integrated with embedded neural networks. We propose a hybrid architecture that decouples training from inference, enabling on-device incremental gradient descent and autonomous model adaptation on ESP32 microcontrollers without cloud dependency. Field deployment achieved zero data loss, yielding an R² of 0.9165 and a Mean Absolute Error of 4.65%, significantly outperforming climatological baselines. This work validates the efficacy of edge incremental learning in resource-constrained environments, providing a high-accuracy, cost-effective solution for distributed solar energy prediction.