Quant Convergence: Bridging Classical Value Investing and Modern Factor Models for Systematic Equity Selection
This study addresses the tendency of modern machine learning models to overfit short-term market noise in stock selection, thereby neglecting firms’ long-term intrinsic value. To bridge this gap, the authors formally operationalize Benjamin Graham’s “margin of safety” principle as a low-pass filter, integrating his classic value-investing rules with contemporary factor models to construct three distinct feature sets. Using two decades of S&P 500 data, they evaluate XGBoost, Random Forest, and AutoGluon under a four-year buy-and-hold strategy to assess out-of-sample robustness. Results demonstrate that a pure Graham-inspired Random Forest achieves a cumulative return of 232.13% and a Calmar ratio of 1.38, while the hybrid model attains a 202.91% return with the lowest drawdown (34.53%), significantly outperforming high-volatility purely AI-driven approaches.