Probabilistic Physics-Aware Machine Learning Predictions of Electric Truck Energy Consumption with Field Data
This study addresses the insufficient accuracy and reliability of energy consumption prediction for electric trucks by proposing a physics-informed modeling framework that integrates first-principles physical knowledge with data-driven techniques. The approach embeds fundamental energy loss mechanisms into machine learning architectures and leverages an ensemble of models—including Bayesian linear regression, neural networks, and gradient-boosted regression trees—to achieve both high-fidelity point predictions and robust uncertainty quantification. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly outperforms conventional purely data-driven models in both predictive accuracy and uncertainty estimation, thereby validating the effectiveness and superiority of physics-guided feature modeling for energy consumption forecasting in electric freight transport.