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MiniMax

Research institutionasia · cn
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Research library5linked papers
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Selected work

Representative Papers

How Many Samples Are Needed to Determine Causal Direction? Sharp Minimax Bounds for Bivariate LiNGAM

Aug 16, 2026

This study addresses the sample complexity of causal identification in bivariate linear non-Gaussian models by integrating non-Gaussian independent component analysis with minimax theory. It establishes, for the first time, sharp local minimax bounds that depend on edge strength, non-Gaussianity, and scale uncertainty. The derived exact sample size formula elucidates identification mechanisms under weak-effect or near-Gaussian regimes and characterizes critical conditions distinguishing non-Gaussianity-dominated from covariance-dominated identification. By providing rigorous theoretical support and quantitative criteria, this work significantly advances the understanding of statistical limits in determining causal directionality within linear non-Gaussian frameworks.

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Sharp Minimax Theory for Randomized Experiments

Aug 13, 2026

This study addresses the minimax optimal design problem for estimating the sample average treatment effect with binary outcomes in finite-population randomized experiments. By reformulating risk equivalence as a two-parameter estimation task, we derive an exact second-order asymptotic expansion involving Airy functions. We propose a novel framework combining Bernoulli randomization with nonlinear shrinkage estimation, obtaining explicit second-order risk constants and establishing its minimax optimality. Our results demonstrate that while the traditional difference-in-means estimator achieves only first-order optimality, the proposed estimator significantly outperforms standard procedures at the second order. These findings elucidate the limitations of existing methods and underscore the practical significance of second-order refinements in experimental design.

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Recent publications

Latest Papers

How Many Samples Are Needed to Determine Causal Direction? Sharp Minimax Bounds for Bivariate LiNGAM

Aug 16, 2026

This study addresses the sample complexity of causal identification in bivariate linear non-Gaussian models by integrating non-Gaussian independent component analysis with minimax theory. It establishes, for the first time, sharp local minimax bounds that depend on edge strength, non-Gaussianity, and scale uncertainty. The derived exact sample size formula elucidates identification mechanisms under weak-effect or near-Gaussian regimes and characterizes critical conditions distinguishing non-Gaussianity-dominated from covariance-dominated identification. By providing rigorous theoretical support and quantitative criteria, this work significantly advances the understanding of statistical limits in determining causal directionality within linear non-Gaussian frameworks.

0 citationsRead paper

Sharp Minimax Theory for Randomized Experiments

Aug 13, 2026

This study addresses the minimax optimal design problem for estimating the sample average treatment effect with binary outcomes in finite-population randomized experiments. By reformulating risk equivalence as a two-parameter estimation task, we derive an exact second-order asymptotic expansion involving Airy functions. We propose a novel framework combining Bernoulli randomization with nonlinear shrinkage estimation, obtaining explicit second-order risk constants and establishing its minimax optimality. Our results demonstrate that while the traditional difference-in-means estimator achieves only first-order optimality, the proposed estimator significantly outperforms standard procedures at the second order. These findings elucidate the limitations of existing methods and underscore the practical significance of second-order refinements in experimental design.

0 citationsRead paper